 |
| |
 |
| |
 |
| |
 |
About Us
Market Forecasting in the Communications Industries ElectroniCast specializes in forecasting technology and global market trends in fiber-optics, network communications and advanced photonics. As an independent consultancy we offer multi-client and custom studies to the world's leading companies based on comprehensive, in-depth analysis of quantitative and qualitative factors. Industry Sectors •Telecommunications •LAN/Premise Data Networks •Cable •Speciality •Military/Aerospace/Harsh Environment Technology Sectors •Fiber Optics •Network Communications •Advanced Photonic Products •Optoelectronics Global Global Summary America Europe Asia/Pacific Rim Management Jeff D. Montgomery, BSEE, MBA; Chairman and founder of ElectroniCast. Mr. Montgomery has over 53 years of professional experience in the electronics industry. Through the most recent 42 years, he has worked full time in electronic industry forecasting and planning with 34 years' experience in communication fiber optics. His work experience, prior to founding ElectroniCast Consultants, includes: ElectroniCast Corporation, 25 years, founder and CEO; Gnostic Concepts, Inc., 9 years, co-founder and President; Quantum Science Corp., 2 years; Varian Associates, 8 years; Andrew California Corp., 10 years. He is a Senior Life Member of IEEE and Member, SPIE and OSA. Stephen Montgomery, MBA/Technology Management, President – International Business Expansion at ElectroniCast Consultants. Mr. Montgomery has specialized in photonics and fiber optic components market & technology forecasting since 1990. In addition to serving as President for International Business Expansion at ElectroniCast Consultants, Mr. Montgomery is the Director of the Fiber Optics Components group and the LED Market Research group. He also is the Director of several conferences. He has given numerous presentations and published a number of articles on optical communication markets, technology, applications and installations. He is a member of the Editorial Advisory Board of LIGHTWAVE magazine and writes a monthly article covering the Telecommunications industry for OPTCOM Magazine. Theresa Hosking, Vice President, Sales and Marketing. Mrs. Hosking is responsible for the company's global marketing and sales efforts in the Advanced Photonics Group, Mature Fiber Optics Group, and Networking Systems Group. She also is the conference and trade show coordinator and hosts the FTTx Resource Center at major conventions. Theresa's previous experience in the communications industry include: ElectroniCast Corporation, 10 years, Vice President Sales & Marketing, Gnostic Concepts, market analyst assistant, 2 years. Hans van der Tang, MBA; Director Sales & Marketing – APAC Region. Mr. van der Tang, a Dutch national living in Japan for more than twenty years, has extensive experience in a broad variety of management and consulting roles. Fluent in Dutch, English and German and with business-level language skills in Japanese enables him to work in almost any business or cultural environment. His work experience, prior to joining ElectroniCast Consultants – Asia Pacific Region (APAC), includes GfK Marketing Research/Asia Data Research Inc, Forefront Technologies, the American Management Association and Japan Advisory. At GfK, he managed the sales and marketing operation of marketing research services to the headquarters of almost all Japanese and Korean companies in the consumer electronics industry such as Canon, Sony, Matsushita, Toshiba, Samsung, Sharp, Hitachi, JVC, as well as companies in other industries. About ElectroniCast Consultants ElectroniCast forecasts trends in communication networks and in the products and components used in those networks. ElectroniCast conducts studies and provides forecasts in the worldwide fiber optic/photonic, optoelectronic and network product industries. This includes technology forecasting, markets and applications forecasting, strategic planning, competitive analysis, and marketing/sales consultation. ElectroniCast Consultants, founded as a technology-based independent forecasting firm, meets the information needs of communication industry planners and related suppliers. These studies are either multiclient or custom. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Serving Clients The ElectroniCast purpose is to understand your problems, and to provide timely, high-quality analysis and forecasts to help solve those problems. We focus on your interests. That's why over 80 percent of our business is with clients we have served before. ElectroniCast conducts studies, and provides forecasts, in the worldwide fiber optic/photonic and optoelectronics industries. These studies are either multiclient or custom. Multiclient studies and services are available to any subscriber. They are structured broadly, to be useful to a wide range of clients. Custom studies are tailored to the interests of a single client, and are proprietary to that client. The custom study typically is narrowly defined. It may focus on strategic business planning, markets, technology, competition, acquisition strategy, or any other information requirement. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Research Areas ElectroniCast covers Fiber Optics/Photonics, Optoelectronics, Communication-Related Services, and Interconnection at all levels including:
How To Get Started Phone or write ElectroniCast if you need a forecast or planning assistance. A general or custom study will be proposed without obligation. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Technology Focus ElectroniCast concentrates on areas where future technology advancement will have a major impact on new product and service market opportunities:
the ElectroniCast field research is aimed at analyzing worldwide laboratory activity and forecasting the resulting technology trends. These technology forecasts are then applied to extensive end-user, bottom-up market analysis. Input/output methodology is used as a cross-check of these user-based market forecasts. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Application Focus ElectroniCast segments component and systems use into the following major application categories:
We Help You Catch The Window The product life cycles of high technology electronic products are short, and will continue to shrink. For success, it is vital to target the right products for development and to introduce them to the market at the right time. Decisions on major R&D and facility investments must be made before competitors’ products seize the market—and these decisions must be made quickly. ElectroniCast's fast-turn-around analysis and forecasts help you catch the windows of opportunity. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Forecast Methodology In analyzing and forecasting a product or service market, ElectroniCast combines several techniques: Product consumption and production history is determined by:
application trends, leading producers and their market shares. The forecast, working from this historical data, is based on interviews of:
The short range (1-2 years) forecast is based mainly on a consensus of supplier and user viewpoints. If adequate historical data are available, projections also may contribute to the short- range forecast. These methods, however, are not suitable for long-range forecasts, especially for advanced-technology products. The long-range forecast is based upon the following sequence:
• Creation of new markets
The analysis of cost-effectiveness and understanding of the user perception of risk of the product provide insight into the rate of penetration of the product into the various end applications at its minimum profitable price. Input/output analysis applies the penetration forecasts to the end- application production forecasts to provide a cross-check of the product consumption forecast. This consumption forecast is then adjusted by forecasted imports and exports, inventory change, R&D use, and other non-production markets to derive the total production forecast. Finally, by user interviews, the production forecasts are segmented into captive (in-house) production versus available (merchant) market. The forecast data are computer-processed and the forecasts are available on CD Rom or via e-mail delivery. Why ElectroniCast Consultants Leads MATURITY A base of over a quarter century of forecasting technology application and market trends of leading- edge photonic and electronic products. No other consultancy compares to ElectroniCast Consultants in the number of current, in-depth fiber optic component forecast reports. ADVANCED PHOTONICS Photonic Integrated Circuit Transceivers (PICs) Optical Fiber Amplifiers (OFAs) Optoelectronic Integrated Circuits (OEICs) Massively Parallel Optical Interconnect (Masspar) Vertical Cavity Surface Emitting Laser (VCSEL) Transceivers Optical Crossconnect (OXC) Matrix Switches Optical Add/Drop Multiplexers (OADMs) Optical Backplanes (OBPs) and Motherboards Internal Optical Interconnect BOTTOM-UP ANALYSIS The forecasted product is divided into its subsets (and sub-subsets). The significant applications are identified. For each product subset, in each application, the base year consumed quantity and its average per-unit price is estimated, based on in-depth interviews of both customers and suppliers. This is repeated for each succeeding year of the forecasts. Quantity is multiplied to obtain the value forecasts, at these lowest levels. The quantity and value forecasts are then summed to obtain the total forecast. All of this bottom-up quantity, price and value data is provided in spreadsheets with each report. EXTRAORDINARY DATA BASES The bottom-up forecast numbers are managed within extremely detailed spreadsheets which support accurate forecasting of over 20 fiber optic component categories plus end applications (equipment) and subsidiary piece parts. These forecast spreadsheets, in printout format, on CD, are provided to each client. The consumption quantities of various components are related to each other, as well as to the quantities of consuming equipment and the quantities of supporting parts. This permits cross- referencing of forecasts, to improve accuracy. CONSULTANT RELATIONSHIP Clients have access to forecast report authors and support staff for extended exploration and clarification. ElectroniCast maintains a continuing consulting relationship with its clients, providing additional information as needed. INDEPENDENCE ElectroniCast is owned by its founder and staff, free from influence by outside ownership. Excellence in forecasting and client service are the guiding principles. CONFERENCE SPONSORSHIP ElectroniCast organizes and sponsors several fiber optic component industry conferences, facilitating interaction among client and ElectroniCast staff with industry leaders in all areas. ElectroniCast has hosted the "Fiber-to-the-Premise (FTTx) Center" at major conventions for the past four years. |
| Let Us Help You Catch the Window! |
